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A brief look at why precipitation from nor'easters are so hard to predict.

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UPDATE 2:45 P.M.: The snow that began falling late Saturday morning has stopped, but radar shows more is on its way.

A "second wave" of the winter storm system is bearing down on Monmouth County and other parts of New Jersey, but not far behind the heavier snow will be sleet and later, rain, said Robert Deal, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Mount Holly.

The snow could reappear in the northern Shore area shortly after 3 p.m.

Rain is expected to show up around sunset, Deal said.

The forecast calls for up to 2 inches in Monmouth County but only a half inch in Ocean County. Up in Northern New Jersey, snow totals are expected to reach 4 inches around the Interstate 78 corridor, according to the weather service.

Earlier forecast: Weekend snowfall has possibility to be some of the 'heavier accumulations' yet

Sussex County could see up to 4 inches of snow with another inch of snow and sleet.

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People responding to the National Weather Service in Mount Holly's Twitter post asking for snow reports say snow has started falling in Red Bank shortly after noon and up in Somerset and Hunterdon counties a bit earlier.

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Temperatures will stay in the upper 20s through much of the day in northern New Jersey, the mid-30s in the north-central part of the state and the upper 30s in the south.

A winter weather advisory will be in effect in Bergen, Essex,Hunterdon, Mercer, Morris, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex, Union, Warren counties until 10 p.m. Saturday.

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Below, photos from a snowy December day.

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Ken Serrano has covered breaking news for more than 20 years in New Jersey. Reach him at 732-643-4029.

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